The energy situation is becoming increasingly serious, and the pace of new energy substitution will continue to accelerate.
as we all know, the current available traditional energy reserves of mankind are limited, and the recoverable life is shrinking, making the energy situation more serious; On the other hand, as the development technology of new energy becomes more and more mature, the consumption of new energy will gradually surpass the traditional energy and become the leading force of energy consumption
analysis of global energy situation
from the perspective of consumption, in, the total global energy consumption showed an increasing trend year by year except for 2009, which was affected by the financial crisis. In 2010, the total global energy consumption was 11.978 billion tons of oil equivalent, a year-on-year increase of 5.15%, the largest increase in recent years. In 2013, the total global energy consumption was 12.73 billion tons of oil equivalent, a year-on-year increase of 2.03% on the 15th; In 2015, the total global energy consumption was about 13.147 billion tons of oil equivalent, a year-on-year increase of 1.26%
total global energy consumption in and its year-on-year growth rate (unit: million tons of oil equivalent,%)
as a large energy consumer, China's total primary energy consumption is increasing year by year. In 2011, China's total primary energy consumption was 3.48 billion tons of standard coal, a year-on-year increase of 7.08%, the largest increase in recent years; In 2013, China's total primary energy consumption reached 3.76 billion tons of standard coal, a year-on-year increase of 3.87%; In 2015, China's total primary energy consumption reached 4.300 billion tons of standard coal, an increase of 11.98% year-on-year
from the perspective of energy structure, in the global energy consumption structure, the proportion of oil consumption shows a downward trend year by year, and the proportion of coal consumption shows an upward trend year by year. In 2015, oil consumption was the largest in the global energy consumption, accounting for 32.94%; The second is coal, accounting for 29.21%; Natural gas consumption ranks third, accounting for 23.85%; The consumption of nuclear energy and hydropower accounted for 4.44% and 6.79% respectively
global energy consumption structure (unit:%)
comparatively speaking, China's energy consumption structure is more unbalanced, with coal consumption accounting for 63.72% of the total energy consumption; The second is oil, accounting for 18.57%; The consumption of natural gas accounts for 5.89%
in general, with the continuous growth of global energy consumption, from the perspective of the storage and production ratio of global traditional energy, the storage and production ratio of coal resources, which plays a major role in the total energy consumption, continues to decline. Especially in China, the reserve production ratio of coal and oil has an obvious downward trend. By the end of 2015, the global oil reserve production ratio was 52.8 years; The reserve production ratio of natural gas is 55.1 years; The reserve production ratio of coal is 113 years
The storage production ratio of global traditional energy in (unit: year) laboratory health requirementsthe pace of new energy substitution will be accelerated
with the decline of traditional energy becoming more and more obvious, the development of new energy is imperative. However, from the perspective of global energy consumption structure in the past decade, the proportion of global new energy consumption is still small and relatively stable, between% and relatively stable. Due to the long gestation time and asset life, the global energy consumption structure changes slowly. China's total consumption of new energy accounts for a small proportion of the total energy consumption, less than 10%. China's new energy will continue to maintain this trend in the next few years
however, it is believed that with the increasingly severe energy consumption situation and the continuous breakthroughs in new energy utilization technologies, the pace of new energy substitution will continue to accelerate. It can be predicted that in, the share of natural gas and non fossil fuels will increase, while the share of coal and oil will decrease accordingly. The trend of new energy replacing traditional energy is becoming more and more obvious
specifically, in, the world's primary energy consumption is expected to increase by 1.6% annually. It will take about five years for the global energy consumption to increase by 39% by 2030. The growth rate of global energy consumption has decreased from an average annual rate of 2.5% in the past decade to an average annual rate of 2.0% in the next decade, and will further decline to an average annual rate of 1.3% between 2020 and 2030. Jig [jig]
global energy consumption growth and forecast (%)
in terms of energy structure, renewable energy (including biofuels) is expected to grow the fastest in, with an expected annual average growth rate of 8.2%; In terms of fossil fuels, natural gas has the fastest growth rate, with an average annual growth rate of 2.1%, while oil has the slowest growth rate, with an average annual growth rate of 0.7%
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